2023-24 - Most Valuable Player
Last Update: Sept. 26, 2026, 3:24 a.m.
Eligibility: 65 qualifying games (20+ minutes; up to two 15-20 minute games count). Ineligible players' predictions are set to zero.
Model Type: CatBoost Regression Model.
Target: Vote share scaled to sum to 1 by season.
Prediction: Vote share scaled to sum to 1.
| Name |
Qualifying Games |
Predicted Vote Share |
Actual Vote Share |
Actual Winner |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
75
|
0.272
|
0.249 |
|
| Nikola Jokić |
79
|
0.265
|
0.360 |
|
| Luka Dončić |
70
|
0.145
|
0.220 |
|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo |
73
|
0.138
|
0.075 |
|
| Jayson Tatum |
74
|
0.049
|
0.033 |
|
| Anthony Edwards |
78
|
0.031
|
0.007 |
|
| Jalen Brunson |
76
|
0.027
|
0.055 |
|