2023-24 - Defensive Player of the Year
Last Update: Sept. 26, 2026, 3:25 a.m.
Eligibility: 65 qualifying games (20+ minutes; up to two 15-20 minute games count). Ineligible players' predictions are set to zero.
Model Type: CatBoost Regression Model.
Target: Vote share scaled to sum to 1 by season.
Prediction: Vote share scaled to sum to 1.
| Name |
Qualifying Games |
Predicted Vote Share |
Actual Vote Share |
Actual Winner |
| Rudy Gobert |
76
|
0.266
|
0.486 |
|
| Victor Wembanyama |
71
|
0.157
|
0.275 |
|
| Nikola Jokić |
79
|
0.069
|
|
|
| Anthony Davis |
74
|
0.068
|
0.093 |
|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
75
|
0.065
|
0.007 |
|
| Chet Holmgren |
80
|
0.059
|
|
|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo |
73
|
0.039
|
0.003 |
|
| Herbert Jones |
73
|
0.010
|
0.016 |
|
| Bam Adebayo |
70
|
0.004
|
0.102 |
|