2023-24 - All NBA
Last Update: Sept. 26, 2026, 3:25 a.m.
Eligibility: 65 qualifying games (20+ minutes; up to two 15-20 minute games count). Ineligible players' predictions are set to zero.
Model Type: CatBoost Multinomial Classification Model.
Target: Team Number (0, 1, 2, 3)
Ordered by 1st team probability, then 1st + 2nd, then 1st + 2nd + 3rd.
| Name |
Predicted Team |
Qualifying Games |
Prediction (1st) |
Prediction (2nd) |
Prediction (3rd) |
Actual Team |
Team |
Selection |
| Luka Dončić |
1 |
70
|
97.4% |
1.8% |
0.4% |
1 |
|
|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
1 |
75
|
95.0% |
4.0% |
0.6% |
1 |
|
|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo |
1 |
73
|
90.0% |
6.9% |
1.4% |
1 |
|
|
| Jayson Tatum |
1 |
74
|
80.3% |
16.1% |
2.6% |
1 |
|
|
| Nikola Jokić |
1 |
79
|
79.7% |
16.9% |
2.5% |
1 |
|
|
| Jalen Brunson |
2 |
76
|
10.3% |
84.9% |
2.2% |
2 |
|
|
| Anthony Edwards |
2 |
78
|
22.1% |
67.7% |
5.9% |
2 |
|
|
| Kevin Durant |
2 |
75
|
8.4% |
61.9% |
11.4% |
2 |
|
|
| Devin Booker |
2 |
67
|
6.6% |
58.1% |
8.2% |
3 |
|
|
| Anthony Davis |
2 |
74
|
27.1% |
30.9% |
28.2% |
2 |
|
|
| LeBron James |
3 |
71
|
6.8% |
16.8% |
63.5% |
3 |
|
|
| Domantas Sabonis |
3 |
82
|
3.2% |
7.1% |
73.1% |
3 |
|
|
| Tyrese Haliburton |
3 |
68
|
8.9% |
22.4% |
23.6% |
3 |
|
|
| Tyrese Maxey |
3 |
70
|
3.7% |
28.6% |
14.5% |
- |
|
|
| Jaylen Brown |
3 |
70
|
9.9% |
20.9% |
15.5% |
- |
|
|
| Rudy Gobert |
- |
76
|
3.4% |
8.4% |
32.1% |
- |
|
|
| Damian Lillard |
- |
73
|
4.4% |
22.8% |
14.4% |
- |
|
|
| De'Aaron Fox |
- |
74
|
5.4% |
19.4% |
13.9% |
- |
|
|
| Stephen Curry |
- |
74
|
1.7% |
12.1% |
24.7% |
3 |
|
|
| Kawhi Leonard |
- |
67
|
4.3% |
19.6% |
11.6% |
2 |
|
|
| Paolo Banchero |
- |
80
|
2.0% |
8.6% |
16.9% |
- |
|
|
| Zion Williamson |
- |
70
|
2.9% |
11.0% |
9.1% |
- |
|
|
| Paul George |
- |
73
|
1.3% |
6.0% |
11.9% |
- |
|
|
| Karl-Anthony Towns |
- |
62
borderline
|
1.3% |
4.3% |
8.4% |
- |
|
|
| DeMar DeRozan |
- |
79
|
0.9% |
4.1% |
7.3% |
- |
|
|
| Chet Holmgren |
- |
80
|
0.7% |
2.1% |
6.5% |
- |
|
|
| Jalen Williams |
- |
69
|
0.8% |
2.3% |
4.5% |
- |
|
|
| Bam Adebayo |
- |
70
|
0.2% |
1.0% |
5.9% |
- |
|
|
| Pascal Siakam |
- |
80
|
0.4% |
1.7% |
4.5% |
- |
|
|
| Victor Wembanyama |
- |
71
|
0.5% |
1.7% |
4.1% |
- |
|
|
| Alperen Şengün |
- |
63
borderline
|
0.2% |
1.0% |
4.7% |
- |
|
|