2024-25 - Most Valuable Player
Last Update: Sept. 26, 2026, 3:25 a.m.
Eligibility: 65 qualifying games (20+ minutes; up to two 15-20 minute games count). Ineligible players' predictions are set to zero.
Model Type: CatBoost Regression Model.
Target: Vote share scaled to sum to 1 by season.
Prediction: Vote share scaled to sum to 1.
| Name |
Qualifying Games |
Predicted Vote Share |
Actual Vote Share |
Actual Winner |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
76
|
0.348
|
0.351 |
|
| Nikola Jokić |
70
|
0.328
|
0.303 |
|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo |
67
|
0.130
|
0.181 |
|
| Jayson Tatum |
72
|
0.091
|
0.120 |
|
| James Harden |
79
|
0.027
|
0.000 |
|
| Donovan Mitchell |
71
|
0.004
|
0.028 |
|