2025-26 - Most Valuable Player
Last Update: Sept. 26, 2026, 3:23 a.m.
Eligibility: 65 qualifying games (20+ minutes; up to two 15-20 minute games count). Ineligible players' predictions are set to zero.
Model Type: CatBoost Regression Model.
Target: Vote share scaled to sum to 1 by season.
Prediction: Vote share scaled to sum to 1.
| Name |
Qualifying Games |
Predicted Vote Share |
Actual Vote Share |
Actual Winner |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
68
|
0.273
|
0.361 |
|
| Nikola Jokić |
65
|
0.254
|
0.244 |
|
| Victor Wembanyama |
64
borderline
|
0.160
|
0.219 |
|
| Jaylen Brown |
70
|
0.073
|
0.034 |
|
| Luka Dončić |
64
|
0.058
|
0.096 |
|
| Cade Cunningham |
63
|
0.050
|
0.045 |
|
| Donovan Mitchell |
70
|
0.029
|
0.000 |
|
| Kevin Durant |
78
|
0.028
|
|
|