2025-26 - Defensive Player of the Year
Last Update: Sept. 26, 2026, 3:23 a.m.
Eligibility: 65 qualifying games (20+ minutes; up to two 15-20 minute games count). Ineligible players' predictions are set to zero.
Model Type: CatBoost Regression Model.
Target: Vote share scaled to sum to 1 by season.
Prediction: Vote share scaled to sum to 1.
| Name |
Qualifying Games |
Predicted Vote Share |
Actual Vote Share |
Actual Winner |
| Victor Wembanyama |
64
borderline
|
0.341
|
0.556 |
|
| Nikola Jokić |
65
|
0.070
|
|
|
| Chet Holmgren |
69
|
0.062
|
0.266 |
|
| Ausar Thompson |
66
|
0.061
|
0.067 |
|
| Derrick White |
77
|
0.036
|
0.014 |
|
| Karl-Anthony Towns |
75
|
0.036
|
|
|
| Jalen Duren |
66
|
0.035
|
0.001 |
|
| OG Anunoby |
66
|
0.029
|
0.004 |
|
| Cade Cunningham |
63
|
0.028
|
|
|
| Rudy Gobert |
76
|
0.020
|
0.046 |
|
| Scottie Barnes |
80
|
0.014
|
0.023 |
|