2025-26 - All NBA
Last Update: Sept. 26, 2026, 3:23 a.m.
Eligibility: 65 qualifying games (20+ minutes; up to two 15-20 minute games count). Ineligible players' predictions are set to zero.
Model Type: CatBoost Multinomial Classification Model.
Target: Team Number (0, 1, 2, 3)
Ordered by 1st team probability, then 1st + 2nd, then 1st + 2nd + 3rd.
| Name |
Predicted Team |
Qualifying Games |
Prediction (1st) |
Prediction (2nd) |
Prediction (3rd) |
Actual Team |
Team |
Selection |
| Luka Dončić |
1 |
64
|
86.1% |
6.3% |
4.4% |
1 |
|
|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
1 |
68
|
78.0% |
19.0% |
1.4% |
1 |
|
|
| Cade Cunningham |
1 |
63
|
65.5% |
20.4% |
5.8% |
1 |
|
|
| Nikola Jokić |
1 |
65
|
64.8% |
25.8% |
3.5% |
1 |
|
|
| Victor Wembanyama |
1 |
64
borderline
|
58.1% |
33.2% |
5.5% |
1 |
|
|
| Jalen Brunson |
2 |
73
|
34.1% |
52.1% |
7.6% |
2 |
|
|
| Jaylen Brown |
2 |
70
|
32.3% |
48.9% |
4.1% |
2 |
|
|
| Kevin Durant |
2 |
78
|
8.4% |
70.8% |
5.7% |
2 |
|
|
| Kawhi Leonard |
2 |
65
|
9.1% |
70.1% |
7.7% |
2 |
|
|
| Donovan Mitchell |
2 |
70
|
17.5% |
60.5% |
9.8% |
2 |
|
|
| Jamal Murray |
3 |
74
|
6.2% |
55.8% |
16.0% |
3 |
|
|
| Jalen Johnson |
3 |
71
|
4.0% |
10.8% |
56.2% |
3 |
|
|
| Tyrese Maxey |
3 |
70
|
7.6% |
28.1% |
18.9% |
3 |
|
|
| Chet Holmgren |
3 |
69
|
2.0% |
5.6% |
43.4% |
3 |
|
|
| Karl-Anthony Towns |
3 |
75
|
7.2% |
11.6% |
25.5% |
- |
|
|
| Amen Thompson |
- |
79
|
3.9% |
10.9% |
16.7% |
- |
|
|
| Alperen Şengün |
- |
71
|
3.7% |
13.3% |
11.0% |
- |
|
|
| Jalen Duren |
- |
66
|
2.2% |
7.5% |
18.1% |
3 |
|
|
| Stephon Castle |
- |
67
|
5.9% |
12.9% |
7.9% |
- |
|
|
| James Harden |
- |
70
|
2.3% |
4.4% |
15.6% |
- |
|
|
| Devin Booker |
- |
62
borderline
|
1.8% |
9.0% |
6.7% |
- |
|
|
| De'Aaron Fox |
- |
72
|
1.1% |
4.7% |
6.2% |
- |
|
|
| Scottie Barnes |
- |
80
|
1.0% |
3.4% |
6.8% |
- |
|
|
| Bam Adebayo |
- |
72
|
0.5% |
1.6% |
9.0% |
- |
|
|
| Julius Randle |
- |
79
|
0.4% |
2.0% |
7.3% |
- |
|
|
| Paolo Banchero |
- |
71
|
0.5% |
1.7% |
4.5% |
- |
|
|
| OG Anunoby |
- |
66
|
0.5% |
1.3% |
4.2% |
- |
|
|